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Climate change is real but are the claims real?

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Climate change

Well… I got to say the claims about climate change are real. But do you know what the claims are?

Not that I will list the lot. But like you I know that the forests are burning or that the tidal waves are coming.

I know that we are told to save the planet. But from what exactly? Total extinction? I mean do you really care for insects and plants and animals who mostly you know nothing of? Who lives in the woods and might bite you into a deathly nauseous state.

I cannot see it as being so. I think you care for the planet but not the finer details. Go on then tell me how many people are predicted to die each year from climate change? What do scientists tell us?

What does Extinction Rebellion mean when they claim 6 billion humans could die within 80 years?

Could; is what they mean. A big could at that.

Meanwhile, scientists say, will. 250 thousand people are predicted to die. Per year in the near future.

So let me help you out from one ordinary guy to another. I mean if you want to save the world you got to convince the ordinary people, right?

Like me, you know about the problems, via press and television, after a robust 3 years of media chants that we must save our planet. But if I say: tell me what you know and why it is we should save on emissions? Like me, you are probably hard on an answer. And that is a key problem we don’t get told enough what exactly it is we should be focusing upon.

I will context it here in relation to the death toll as that makes sense. If not we could talk about crops, water, pollution levels, forests, insects, ice… and lists of stuff that becomes a lost jumble of meaning.

What happens if we don’t save on emissions? Are the scientists right or the extinction prediction people who claim billions will die?

Both are right.

It is a matter of context. And understanding two key principles. Firstly, tipping points, and then the food chain. These two things understood you are then capable of applying your own judgment and morality about what you should do. You surely cannot expect everyone else to agree with you. Because everyone has a differently decided opinion, often a blur of statements may be of fact or not.

A tipping point is a step too far. A point of no return. A bit like if you drink too much alcohol there is a point where you become drunk. One normal state becomes another state. Runaway inflation is a perfect example. Or if you want to apply it to warming then ice sheets melting away can at a certain point in the melting process suddenly escalate into a type of melting from which there is no return of the ice.

This then has a knock-on effect whereby the light from the sun is absorbed into the surfaces of the ground. Increasing the temperatures. The ice has the ability to rebound the light away from the ground. Once you lose ice you lose the rebound effect called the albedo effect.

Crazy people might claim none of this matters, but don’t be fooled by some lonesome academics if tipping points occur you can say goodbye to the food chain and 4 billion people.

But there is a catch and a very positive one: if the tipping points do not occur then we are 95% certain according to extinction rebellion to be OK. That is around 250 thousand will die each year, whilst millions of coastal dwellers have to move inland.

Bangladesh and Miami are likely to be sunk through by 2100. It is 95% certain we will get to 2 degrees and that sinks the Paris Climate Agreement along with them. Not that the world governments care; who after a lot of lip service continue to increase carbon dioxide amounts into the air. Why they would be so stupid or why we would let them is not clear but do it they do. And suffer we will from crop failures and heat strokes and mass migrations.

A headache in the waiting. What will be done? We will be alive to see it? For an informed balanced view go to  https://burninghope.co.uk/

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