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The Big Game

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The Big Game

War has broken out in Ukraine (2022) . No one had thought that Russia would stage  a coup against the Ukrainian government and invade Ukraine to replace the pro-American President Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy with a pro-Russian, like President Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko in Belarus. It is very important for Russia to ensure stability in the immediate area, which is why Putin needs pro-Russian presidents in neighboring countries. If Ukraine becomes part of NATO,  so would Georgia and Putin can not accept that. Torture and war crimes have been reported in the Donetsk Republic, where both pro-Russian and Ukrainian soldiers have committed. Putin calls the Ukrainian regime Nazism to justify  the war. Putin had never thought that the Ukrainian president would stay and resist.The president of Ukraine is trying to force Putin to use heavier weapons  as the outside world would call it a genocide and condemn the Russians. Ukraine has no chance at resisting Russia, but they can garner  the world’s sympathy. In the long run, it would be costly for the Russians both historically and economically.

 The Ukrainian president is also trying to get people in both Russia and the outside world to resist Russia. Putin is losing  popularity and he will not be able to remain in power forever. It is very important for Putin to conquer Ukraine to confirm his popularity, but it must cost as few human lives as possible, which is difficult. The loser in the short run will be Ukraine, but in the long run it will be Russia. The winners are the United States and China. Russia has been cut off from almost the entire world and the Russian currency has fallen sharply. The US currency is strengthening and European countries will expand cooperation with the US while ceasing cooperation with the Russians. Former US President Donald John Trump (2017-2021) had said that Russia is our competitor and he was trying to get Europeans to trade more with the US rather than China and Russia. He was against Russian gas and Europe’s dependence on Russia. He failed to get the Europeans on his side to strengthen the US economy, but the current President Joe Biden has managed to do so.  When Russia occupies Crimea in 2014 to secure control of the Black Sea, Ukraine blocks the water (dam). As a result, more Russians in Crimea are losing water supply. Ukraine and Poland have been opposed to the Nord Stream 2 project. Ukraine stands to lose several billion dollars per year in transit fees – which is what makes NS2 a cheaper option for shipment – a key stream of hard currency income for the country. Germany and Ukraine have disagreed on the NS2.

The Joe Biden administration imposes sanctions on NS2.

 In 2008, The United States proposed  that Ukraine should become part of NATO, but some European countries  rejected it. The former pro-Russian president of Ukraine also worked against becoming part of the EU. America managed to increase its influence in Ukraine following the Maidan color Revolution . They increased their military support to Ukraine to provoke the Russians. During World War II, Germany attacked Russia without declaring war and at that time. Hitler had said he would not attack Russia. Putin does not trust the West and sees NATO expansion as a major threat. Russia is today the largest nuclear power in the world. After Putin showed the new Russian nuclear weapon (Sermat), it dawned on Americans that they could not resist Russia. Russia today has Sermat and Poseidon, which  no one can resist. If the Russian Poseidon explodes under the sea, New York will be flooded. A Sermat alone can wipe out England. Americans would not accept that. They must be superior to Russia. Germany has chosen to increase its military budget and so will the rest of Europe. That was what Trump wanted Europeans to do but they did not want. The war in Ukraine gave the Americans the will to  beat Russia out. Russia will become more dependent on China in the future. Iran is Russia’s future. Iran is very dependent on China today and China has granted Iran loans and taken over the entire market . Inflation is too high and the Iranian currency has fallen sharply.

War will mean rising oil prices but Americans can get out of the crisis by putting extra pressure on oil countries .The crisis is a good opportunity for China to occupy Taiwan. Joe Biden has been defensive against China and Russia. Is it to knock out the two competitors that was the plan  (Donald Trump) or is it a weakness? China is waiting to see the world’s reaction to Ukraine .

In 1994, due to his good relations with the West and Bil Clinton(1993-2001), Boris Jelsin (Russian President) accepted that Ukraine could have sovereignty. In 2002, at the Prague Summit, it was approved that the 7 ex-Russian countries would enter into cooperation with NATO and Russian President Waldemir Putin would cooperate with George W. Bush( 2001-2009) in the fight against terrorism. It was only after the occupation of the Kremlin that cooperation between Russia and NATO ceased. In October 2021, Russia chooses to close all cooperation after the Russian representatives are thrown out of Brussels headquarters

The Russian soldiers do not know what they are doing in Ukraine and many of them think they are on military training. The Ukrainian and Russian nations are closely linked. Ten thousand  Chechen fighters have been sent to Ukraine to fight  in the street. People are participating in war from the West in the name of democracy, an economic war is started. It looks like Ukraine will be the new Syria.

This is the continuation of a cold war that everyone thought was over….

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